(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my July 2022 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings! 

Amidst a prevailing narrative of wishful-thinking denialism, the world is changing fast. Rightly or wrongly, the Ukraine War has backfired on both sides with serious collateral damage across the globe. Inflation and recession fears are dashing President Biden's mid-term chances in the autumn. US triumphalism stubbornly remains that Putin's end is nigh and China would be next to decline, leading to an enduring "American Century". 

Oblivious to China's quiet, yet impressive resilience on most, if not all, levers of global power, American pride and prejudice refuse to be dented by rising political division at home over guns, abortion, immigration and fossil fuels; nor by waning ability to corral South American states in its backyard, let alone the developing world (set to represent 60% of global GDP by 2030, according to the OCED). 

There is now new-found urgency in rallying American allies to challenge and compete with China on all fronts, not forgetting the Southern Pacific. Having long ignored or dismissed China's Belt and Road Initiative (estimated totaling over a trillion dollars, 68 countries, 65% world population and 40% global GDP), the Biden Administration is now introducing a G7 Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), promising $600 billion in five years. There is also talk of forming a G-12 of democracies. 

On whether America is barking up the wrong tree and the whys and wherefores of rapidly-changing world dynamics, the following may hopefully offer some fresh perspectives.

Ukraine War

How the Ukraine War changes Global Geopolitics (Op-ed in Rome-based World Geostrategic Insights published in English, French, Spanish, Russian and Arabic)

How the Ukrainian Crisis Impacts on Eurasia Geopolitics and US-China Relations (A PowerPoint presentation) 

The Impact of the Crisis in Ukraine on Global Supply Chains and China’s Economy  (Resume of a report of the Center for China and Globalization) 

How the Ukrainian Crisis Impacts on Eurasia Geopolitics and US-China Relations(A PowerPoint presentation)

The Impact of the Crisis in Ukraine on Global Supply Chains and China’s Economy (Resume of a report of the Center for China and Globalization)

Ukraine: Beyond the fogs of war (Whys and wherefores by US-based non-profit humanistic Postil Magazine)

Poland threatens to impose sanctions on China for buying Russia oil (Pre-recorded TV interview for Russian-language national TV channel Izvestia)

Amid France's Offer, China Strategist Slams Nations Claiming To Give Security Guarantee To Ukraine (Impromptu live radio interview with Republic TV of India)

China

What The Economist omits to address in President Xi's vision of a global security order (Op-ed in Rome-based World Strategic Insights published in English, French, Spanish, Russian and Arabic)   

China: Is deepening economic slowdown existential? (Feature article in The Global Analyst of India)

China: In the Eye of a Perfect Global Storm (Feature article in The Global Analyst of India)

Hong Kong

HKSAR braving the elements for a brighter future (Feature article in China Daily in celebration of HKSAR's 25th Anniversary)

10 goals for John Lee’s first 100 days as Hong Kong chief executive (Op-ed in South China Morning Post)   

How Hong Kong chief executive hopeful John Lee can raise the bar if elected  (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 

John Lee's manifesto for Hong Kong SAR Chief Executive (Backchat on RTHK (Radio Television Hong Kong)) 

How HKSAR Chief Executive Elect John Lee could make his first 100 days results-oriented (Backchat on RTHK) 

John Lee's election manifesto – youth development (Backchat on RTHK)

Look back at Carrie Lam’s five year term (Backchat on RTHK)   

Hong Kong's Employment Support Scheme during the pandemics (Backchat on RTHK) 

Taiwan

Why Indo-Pacific Power Hinges on Taiwan (Op-ed in Rome-based World Strategic Insights published in English, French, Spanish, Russian and Arabic)

Will China invade Taiwan following Russia's war on Ukraine?  (Op-ed in Rome-based World Strategic Insights published in English, French, Spanish, Russian and Arabic)   

President Xi signed order for national military preparedness (Live TV interview with RT) 

US delegation visits Taiwan, provoking China's anger (Pre-recorded TV interview with RT, London)

U.S. warships often sail close to disputed regional waters drawing warnings from China (Live interview with Press TV)

Xinjiang 

Some fresh perspectives on Xinjiang and Tibet (Video expose by two American and Canadian authors and bloggers)

North Korea

"North Korea’s latest tests are a warning against the United States and South Korea" (Live interview with Press TV)   

North Korea has test-fired a new weapons system (Live interview with Press TV) 

North Korea leader says his country could preemptively use nuclear weapons to counter hostile forces (Live interview with Press TV)

United States has failed in its push for tougher UN sanctions on North Korea (Live interview with Press TV) 

Biden suggests 'sincere', 'serious' talks with North Korea during visit to South Korea (Live interview with Press TV)

Iran

Iran wants new currency for Eurasia (Live interview with RT) 

Iran's foreign minister says Afghanistan deserves more attention from the international community – China's perspective (Live TV interview with Press TV) 

Forthcoming conferences

I will be speaking (via Zoom) at the 9th Annual International Conference on Eurasian Politics and Society (IEPAS 2022) to be held at St John University, York, United Kingdom from 13-16 July, 2022 – on "How the Ukrainian Crisis redefines Eurasian Geopolitics in a Changed World".  I will be speaking in person at the 14th MEDays Forum to be held in Tangier, Morocco, from 2 – 5 November, 2022 on the theme of "From  Crisis to Crisis : Towards a New Global Order?" I will be sharing my presentations in my quarterly newsletters in due course.  

Speaking and lecturing opportunities

Following the above conferences, I am planning a month-long sojourn in London before the year-end. During my stay in London, I remain open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures or tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

International investment opportunities

I have accepted the invitation to join the International Advisory Board of Silk Road Partners, an international investment firm. See its corporate profile. If you are interested in getting in touch with us, please give me a shout. 

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure. You are free to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, WhatsApp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Cheer up and chill out

I have added some more inspirational translations to my repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K. P. Leung, SBS, FRSA               
International and Independent China Strategist
www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com 

Positions