Andrew’s January 2022 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 8,500 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2022 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on my website) 

Greetings! May I first wish you a promising and rewarding 2022, pandemics notwithstanding! 
 
From a trade and tech war, US bipartisan pushback against China is morphing into a clash of civilizations. Along with close Western allies, the United States is doubling down on demonizing China at every turn, imposing sanctions, denying access to markets and technologies, expanding provocative "Freedom of Navigation Operations" in the South China Sea, employing "salami slicing" tactics to advance Taiwan's de facto independence, and calling for a "diplomatic boycott" of China's Winter Olympics. All the while, the US expects China to open up more of its markets, cooperate on Climate Change, North Korea, Iran and Afghanistan, in short to bow in all to US-defined rules and objectives. All these are opening up "century of humiliation" wounds of a more globally-influential, technologically-savvy, militarily-advanced, and ideologically-self-assured China under President Xi. 
 
Attitude is no strategy. Unsurprisingly, the US tactic of maximum coercion doesn't appear to have yielded fruitful results, not to mention broken global supply and value chains, and rising domestic inflation. "Strategic miscalculations" abound, forgetting that politics remains the art of the possible. This is especially true with a peer competitor set to become the world's largest economy within a decade, one on which 128 of 190 countries worldwide depend as their largest trading partner, and one with a completely different ideology, culture and ancient civilization. 
 
The following may hopefully offer some fresh perspectives.  
 
US-China Rivalry
 
Seven reasons the US and China should be building more bridges not tearing them down (Op-ed in the South China Morning Post)
To avert mutual destruction with China, President Biden should move from "maximum confrontation" to "constructive re-engagement" (An in-depth analysis)
How will a new US-China "Cold War" play out? (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in French, Italian, Russian, and Arabic. The originating analysis is here.
Competition Without Catastrophe – Can America both challenge and coexist with China?  (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here. 
What are America's anti-China "strategic miscalculations" or "misjudgments"? (Live interview with Press TV)
What the US-led Democracy Forum doesn't say (Live interview with Press TV)
Xi-Biden virtual summit (Radio interview with Washington-DC based Feature Story News)
US-China tensions (Indus News In Focus TV panel discussion)
 
Mainland China
 
China's Sixth Party Plenum, the New Cold War, and the Contest for new Global Order (A PowerPoint presentation) 
Xi's Plan to build PRC 3.0 – November Party Plenum (Feature article in World Strategic Insights) Also published in Spanish, French, and Russian  A background analysis is here
China: The Evergrande Crisis (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights 
China's Common Prosperity Goal  (Feature article in The Global Analyst) Also republished with permission in Spanish in World Strategic Insights 
Is China's Dual Circulation Strategy moving from market driven growth to planned allocation? (Op-ed in World Strategic Insights) The originating analysis is here.
China's Stagflation Risks – Warning Signals  (Feature article in The Global Analyst) 
CPC's Central Committee Sixth Plenum – What does it signify? (Backchat with Radio Television Hong Kong) 
China: Time of Xi (3-part TV documentary introducing President Xi's vision of the China Dream)
 
Russia
 
President Putin's virtual summit with President Xi – what's on the agenda – Russian TV channel (Pre-recorded video interview dubbed in Russian) 
 
Taiwan
 
China may possess 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030, unlikely to invade Taiwan in next few years (An in-depth analysis)
China warns U.S. against having any illusion about Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV) 
US to pay unbearable price over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV)
Taiwan plans to boost combat capabilities of its reserve forces (Live interview with Press TV) 
China defends recent drills near Taipei (Live interview with Press TV) 
U.S. special forces quietly training Taiwanese (Live interview with Press TV) 
Rising tensions over Taiwan (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
India
 
Modi-Putin summit on defense cooperation – what does it imply?  (The Debate on India's Republic TV)
How to de-escalate tensions over the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)
How Indian television hypes up one-sided rhetoric to demonize China as aggressor (Live panel discussion on India's Republic TV)
From Indian border clashes to tension over Taiwan (Live panel discussion on India's CNBC TV18)
 
Taliban, Pakistan
 
Taliban and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) (Pre-recorded TV interview broadcast in Persian on Iran International TV headquartered in London).
 
North Korea
 
N. Korea views joint U.S.-South war games as rehearsal for possible invasion (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Covid-19
 
China calls U.S. intelligence review into origins of COVID-19 'political & false' (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Hong Kong
 
One Country Two Systems Revisited (Chapter 7 in The Rise of China – Fresh Insights and Observations, published by the Paddy Ashdown Forum (PAF)
Hong Kong elections: 153 hopefuls vying for 90 seats, first time every constituency being contested (Live TV interview on Channel News Asia (CNA)) 
Hong Kong social welfare spending cuts (Backchat on Radio Television Hong Kong) 
 
China's Winter Olympics
 
China warns not to politicize sports as some western countries boycott Beijing game (Live interview with Press TV) 
 
Cheer up and chill out
 
I have added some inspirational translations to the repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words.

Invitation for expressions of interest in investment opportunities

An upended world abounds with fresh BUY and SELL investment opportunities on many fronts across the globe, including new technologies, new markets and new businesses. If you wish to avail yourself of my business network worldwide, please drop me a line on a strictly no-commitment basis initially. 

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

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Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavors in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat , a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)

Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 
Advisory Board member, The e-Centre , European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 
Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List 

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