Andrew’s January 2019 Newsletter

(My quarterly Newsletter goes out to some 7,000 professional contacts worldwide. The following is my January 2019 issue. Back numbers may be accessed under What's New on this website) 

May I first wish you a Merry Holiday Season and a marvellous New Year!

As we enter into 2019, the world order's tectonic plates are mightily shifting. Beginning with a trade war, the United States is now pushing back against China on multiple fronts. This is unprecedented since the end of the Mao era. The battle ground extends from next-generation mobile technology (5G), Uighurs human rights, access to Tibet, to a space arms race. The trade war seriously disrupts global production and value chains, hurting global growth, while the intense rivalry worries allies, forcing them to hedge their bets. 
 
Meanwhile, Yellow Vests and other similar citizen protests burn like sporadic wild fires, part of an inward-looking, anti-globalization, anti--elite, populist groundswell. We are at the historical juncture where the world's richest 10 multi-billionaires have a combined wealth more than the poorest half of the whole world put together. There is a prevailing sense of haplessness and gross injustice. Piketty's warning in Capitalism in the 21st Century seems to be vindicated. 
 
On a broader front, embroiled in national crises of one form or another, many countries seem less focussed on how the earth is heating up faster than expected, due to renewed jumps in carbon emissions. The twist in the tale is that while the United States has ditched the hard-won Paris Agreement on Climate Change, China, the world's worst polluter for decades, seems to be leading the world in upholding the Agreement by exceeding  declared targets. 
 
Hopefully, the following may offer you enjoyable holiday-season browsing with some fresh insight or perspective.
 
The Huawei saga
China arrests two Canadians – any connection with the Huawei saga? (Live interview with Press TV) 
Why is China's biggest technology company being targeted? (TV panel discussion on Inside Story with Aljazeera) 
Beijing's reaction to arrest in Canada of Huawei's CFO (Live interview with ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) 
China-America tensions heat up: Huawei CFO faces extradition to US (Live interview with RT) 
 
US-China trade war and geopolitical rivalry
"China scrambles to sustain its trade truce with America" (An in-depth analysis)
US moderate rhetoric helped Asian markets rebound (Live interview with Press TV) 
The Trade War and Sino-US relations (Radio Hong Kong "Backchat")
US-China Special Report: Intensifying Geopoltical Rivarly will Worsen in 2019, outlasting any trade deal (An Eurasian Group report) 
China-US Trade Relation and Challenges: Past, Present, Future and Policy Options ( A Center for China and Globalization (CCG) analysis) 
IMF urges US, China to de-escalate tensions (Live interview with Press TV) 
How President Trump is helping Beijing in the South China Sea but may open up a new Cold War front on human rights (Opinions from The Washington Post) 
A new Cold War against China may have the opposite effect of what "America First" wants (An in-depth analysis) 
US-China conflict portends reset of world order (Live radio interview with Radio Sputnik of Moscow) 
China's 36,000-character White Paper on US trade war omits reference to an all-out New Cold War (An in-depth analysis) 
Is China losing a new Cold War? (An in-depth analysis)
Chinese media in US required to register as foreign agents (Live TV interview with RT)
Cooperation, not war, is key to mutual prosperity (A re-print of my article in the International Institute of Management (IIM) Journal 2018-19)
Trump's foreign policy is all branding (An opinion from World Politics Review, a New York-based bipartisan publication)
Why Trump's Cold War to contain Beijing is destined to fail (Op-ed in South China Morning Post) 
America's next top villain: Is China lined up to replace Russia as the US' default enemy?  (RT online article) 
US-China trade war may affect Azerbaijan (A perspective in an Azerbaijan journal)  
 
China's Rise
Trade, People, and Money: Understanding China's Unique Capabilities (A Hinrich Foundation analysis)
The Chinese Century is well under way: Many trends that appear global are in fact Chinese (An in-depth analysis) 
 
Technology 
Trade war or not, from AI to blockchain and new energy vehicles, China is on the front row for the Fourth Industrial Revolution (SCMP Op-ed by Edward Tse of Gao Feng Advisory) 
 
G20 and Regional Summits
US-China trade war and long-term rivalry before and post G20 Summit (TV interviews with Aljazeera and RT)
Why APEC meeting failed to reach consensus? (Live interview with Press TV) 
ASEAN Summit discussed RCEP as world's largest trading bloc with implications of possible erosion of dollar dominance (Live TV interview with RT) 
 
Belt and Road  
"2018 was meant to be Xi Jinping’s year. Then China’s Belt and Road unravelled" (An in-depth analysis)
Belt and Road is alive and kicking (A Standard Chartered Bank report) 
 
Human Rights
UN report – Is China holding Uighur Muslims in secret camps?
 
South China Sea
HMS Albion exercised Freedom of Navigation at the Paracels  (Live radio interview with Radio Sputnik of Moscow) 
 
Africa
 
Syria
 
Military
What the New US Nuclear Posture Means for Northeast Asia (An analysis) 
 
Hong Kong
Hong Kong rejects visa of British journalist (Exclusive radio interview on BBC World Service News Hour)
Controversial West Kowloon highspeed rail opens, linking Hong Kong to Mainland China's 25,000 km high-speed network (Live TV interview with Singapore's Channel NewsAsia) 
 
Appointments for promoting education for Sustainable Development 
 
I have accepted appointments as a Professor of Practice with the Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development and as a Certified Sustainable Development Planner (CSDP) of the World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners. Both are affiliated to the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). I have done so in the hope of raising awareness of sustainable development in Mainland China, especially in less-developed areas, and in countries along China's Belt and Road Initiative. The former as a catalyst for building smart cities and communities and the latter to underpin infrastructural building, economic diversification, and ecological conservation where debt and ecological sustainability is becoming an issue. 
 
For my papers, presentations, analysis, commentaries, interviews etc on related aspects, please access my website under Publications, CHINAwatch and What is New. On the right hand column, scroll all the way down "Recent Posts" to find "Categories". Then click on "Sustainability" or "Sustainable Development". All my past postings on the subject will come up aggregated. 
 
Cheer up and chill out

Casablanca reverie – a music video (A nostalgic visit to Casablanca following the 2018 MEDays Forum)

A repertoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese.

Cross-border M & A propositions

You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. 

Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Cambridge-educated Prince Phillip Scholar and UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He has been based in Abu Dhabi working on private equity for the past two years. He is about to return to the financial services sector in London. His personal email address is terencehyleung@gmail.com

Consultation services

Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987.  I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung

Speaking and lecturing invitations

I am open to invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor. 

Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong

As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executives' Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome your suggestion of a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.

RSS feed and weblinks

My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications and What is New on www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  A collection of leading China media and research sites can be found under China Links.

Please feel free to save my website on your computer, laptop, tablet, Blackberry, iPhone or iPad as a reference resource. If you wish instant access as soon as my postings appear, just click on “Subscribe to this blog’s feed” under RSS Feed on top of the right-hand column of each blog. Select the appropriate Google feed option. It is free of charge.  

This newsletter is uploaded to my website here. You may save it for reference or reading at leisure and to share it on Facebook, LinkedIn, Whatsapp, Twitter or other social media devices.

Courtesies

I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You may share the above contents with colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution. 

If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help.  If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently. 

Best personal regards, 

Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA

International and Independent China Strategist

www.andrewleunginternationalconsultants.com  

Positions  

Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants and Investments Limited

(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong; name changed from Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited as from 10 July, 2017) 

China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts, USA (2011-13)
Brain Trust member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland

Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thomson Reuters

Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy based in Washington D.C.

Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy) 

Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)

Professor of Practice, Hong Kong Institute of Education for Sustainable Development (2018-20) 

Certified Sustainable Development Planner, World Institute of Sustainable Development Planners

Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Think-tank Research Fellow, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai Campus, PRC (14.4.2017-13.4.2020) 

Advisory Board member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law, Vienna 

Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM) 

Advisory Board member, The Global Analyst, India

Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016) 

Download 中國香港國際經貿合作協會簡介和組織架構  

Download A brief introduction to the China-Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association

Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China

Hong Kong Advisory Board member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)

Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School 

Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)

Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List   

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