Greetings! May I first wish you well as black swans seem to be standing the world on its head.
Even as President Trump is reaching his first 100 days, the world is no wiser on his next move . Notwithstanding his tête à tête with President Xi, US-China relations are far from settled. What is more, the world's liberal order remains under siege. Brexit may well lead to Scoxit. As for China, persistent debt, anti-corruption and slower growth notwithstanding, grand initiatives like the One Belt, One Road and the Pearl River Delta Bay Area are pushing ahead. There are other imponderables including climate change, looming water wars, an increasingly belligerent North Korea, an anxious Taiwan, and Hong Kong's prospects under its first lady Chief Executive.
Some perspective may be gained from the following –
Trump and implications
‘America first’ thinking won’t survive in a hyper-connected world – Global Forces Op-ed in the South China Morning Post
Implications of a Trump Presidency and shifts in the World Order PowerPoint presentation for a business event at the Mira Hotel; Similar presentations - Global Implications of the Trump Presidency PowerPoint presentation, video clip, and video interview (in Cantonese) with Shue Yan University; With Trump, where do you put your money in 2017? A Hong Kong University Graduate Association presentation
Assessing Trump's possible trade wars A Goldman Sachs research report
Donald Trump’s dangerous China illusions A realistic view by Professor Jeffrey D. Sachs of Columbia University
Trumpism marks the emergence of a new world order A critique on Trumpism and the Liberal World Order
America Can Be First Without China Being Last A Foreign Policy Op-ed
US Policy Towards China: Recommendations for a New Adminstration A report of Asia Society Center on US-China Relations
China's view of President Trump's provocations Exclusive radio interview on BBC World Service News Hour
Trump will adopt a more confrontational stance on the Taiwan issue Earlier live interview with Radio Sputnik
World Outlook
The Twilight of the Liberal World Order A brief for the Brookings Institution
Looming global banking risks – is this time different? A warning from the Financial Times
The unprecedented expansion of the global middle class A Brookings Institution Paper
Caution – A Disruptive World Ahead! Feature article in a business magazine in India
China Dream
China's dramatic transformation: a bird's eye view of Past and Present Breathtaking videos
President X's China Dream to Make China Great Again Insight by Damien Ma of the Paulson Institute
China's Economy and politics
The politics of China's economy A critique on debt, new anti-corruption system, growth in 2017 and the RMB
China's Supply-side Structural Reforms 2017 – some progress but remains government-driven An Economist Intelligence Unit stock-taking
China's new "Corridor System" of monetary management A BBVA research note
Rapidly growing digital economy set to give China 415m jobs, account for nearly half of GDP Latest reports in South China Morning Post and McKinsey
China introduces "social credit rating" system Live TV interview on Money Talks with TRT
One Belt, One Road
Despite scepticism, the Pearl River Delta Bay Area vision will drive China's One Belt, One Road A research note
Three Years of China’s New Silk Roads: From Words to (Re)action? A stock-taking report by French Institute of International Relations
How Oman can leverage China’s One Belt, One Road PowerPoint presentation at the University of Buraimi, Oman
Military
Backing Into World War III A critique of containment theory
The U.S.-China Military Balance in the Western Pacific A Modern Diplomacy assessment
US deploys THAAD in S. Korea despite Russia, China opposition Live TV interview with RT
Taiwan
US-Taiwan-China relations and US arms sale to Taiwan Live interview with Radio Sputnik
North Korea
US sends aircraft carrier strike group to Korean Peninsula Live TV interview with RT International
Murder of Kim Jong Nam Live TV interview with TRT (Turkish Radio and Television Corporation)
Environment
"Parched – Global Water Wars" – from the Middle East to the Tibetan Plateau A National Geographic TV documentary
A Conservative Case for Climate Action A New York Times Op-ed by Conservative heavyweights
The changing narrative of China's environmental story Two China Dialogue assessments
Hong Kong
Hong Kong Chief Executive election March, 2017 – The dynamics Live TV interviews with Aljazeera and Channel News Asia
Hong Kong Chief Executive Election process starts Live TV interviews on CGTN, Beijing
China's new stance on Hong Kong and the HK Chief Executive election 中国对香港的新立场及香港行政长官选举 Live TV interview with CGTN, Beijing
Hong Kong Chief Executive CY Leung's swansong Policy Address and implications for the next administration Live interview with Channel News Asia
Business
Westinghouse shows Toshiba at a crossroads Live TV interview on Counting the Cost on Aljazeera
Cheer up and chill out
A reportoire of inspirational music, videos, songs and words, There is also a collection in Chinese.
Cross-border M & A propositions
You are welcome to send me propositions on a no-commitment basis initially. Relying on my extensive network of contacts worldwide, I will try to match buy and sell sides and facilitate subsequent transactions. Please limit details to a one-page PDF document, including key financial data, photo images, contact phone numbers and email addresses.
Separately, you are welcome to reach out to my son Terence, a Prince Philip Scholar and Cambridge-trained UK-qualified lawyer-turned-banker. He has over ten years M & A experience in London with Allen & Overy, Deutsche Bank, and Houlihan Lokey. He is now with The Marya Group, a global multi-billion dollar investment group headquartered in the UAE. His personal email address is terencehyleung@gmail.com
Consultation services
Please email me at andrewkpleung@gmail.com or text my Hong Kong mobile +852 98198987. I can also be reached on Skype at andrew.k.p.leung, LinkedIn at andrewleunginternational, Whatsapp at (852) 98198987, WeChat at Andrewkpleung, Facebook at andrewkinpongleung, and Twitter at @Andrewkpleung
Speaking and lecturing invitations
Please email any invitations or proposals for speaking engagements, visiting lectures and tailor-made electives as a visiting/adjunct professor.
Business networking and speaking platform in Hong Kong
As an Advisor to the Denmark-based Executive Global Network Hong Kong, I welcome you to field a suitable speaker for an EGN event in Hong Kong. This will be entirely at our own cost with acknowledgement of your support or that of your organization, provided that we are not asked to cover any speaking fee, travel or accommodation expenses.
RSS feed and weblinks
My postings are regularly uploaded under my three blogs CHINAwatch, Publications
Courtesies
I look forward to your guidance, advice, comments, suggestions, and criticisms. You are welcome to share any of my papers, articles, presentations, and TV interviews with your colleagues or friends. You are also welcome to publish any of them with full attribution.
If you think that I may add value to your endeavours in any way, please let me know how I may help. If for any reason you do not wish to receive my emails, just ask me to delete your name from my databank permanently.
Best personal regards,
Andrew K.P. Leung, SBS, FRSA
International and Independent China Strategist
Positions
Chairman and CEO, Andrew Leung International Consultants Limited
(Founded in London, now re-incorporated in Hong Kong)
Honorary President, China Hong Kong Economic and Trading International Association (from 28 March, 2016)
China Futures Fellow, Berkshire Publishing Group, Massachusetts,USA(2011-13)
Brain Trust Member, The Evian Group (global think-tank), Lausanne, Switzerland
Gerson Lehrman Group (Global Experts) Council Member
International Expert, Reuters Insight Community of Experts, Thompson Reuters
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat, a cloud-sourced global strategic consultancy
Senior Consultant, MEC International (a UK-based global strategic energy consultancy)
Distinguished Contributor, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA) (global think-tank)
Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (FRSA)
Elected Member, Royal Society for Asian Affairs
Visiting Professor, London Metropolitan University Business School
Advisory Board Member, The e-Centre, European Centre for e-Commerce and Internet Law
Advisory Board Member, The Global Analyst, India
Hong Kong Advisory Board Member, Denmark-based Executive Global Network (EGN)
Honorary Adviser, International Institute of Management (IIM)
Global Commercial Agent, Changsha City, China
(The following until 19 May 2010, on permanent relocation back to Hong Kong)
Governing Council Member, King’s College London, UK (2004-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Advisory Board Member, China Policy Institute, Nottingham University, UK (2005 -2010)
Founding Chairman, China Group, Institute of Directors City Branch, London, UK (2006-2010)
Vice Chairman, 48 Group Club, UK (2008-2010)
Committee Member of RSA, London Region, UK (2006-2010)
Visiting Professor, Sun Yat-sen University Business School, China (2005-10)
Included in UK's Who's Who since 2002
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List
Awarded the Silver Bauhinia Star (SBS) in the July 2005 Hong Kong Honours List
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