This paper Click here is presented as a separate "Think piece" in an abridged version extracted from a Chartered Insurance Institute report published in April 2012, to mark the CII’s centenary year as a chartered professional body. This report, the second in the series, focuses on possible socio-economic futures. 

Click here for the full report including several other contributors, including David Smith of the Sunday Times and George Magnus of UBS and author of "Uprising – Will Emerging Markets Shape or Shake the World Economy?", John Wiley and Sons, 2011.

See a brief introduction to the full report here