The simple arithmetic of China’s slower growth

An article dated 18 February 2015 by Professor Danny Quah of the London School of Economics on Brookings Online shows that as China's economy at $11.3 trillion is nearly five times larger compared with a decade ago, even slowing to 7% growth will treble the increment in the absolute size of China's economy and double the size of China's potential market for exports from her trading partners.

Likewise, a 7% slower growth rate is estimated to generate 53 million new jobs, assuming the same productivity increase at 2013 levels. This would account for over 10% of the rural migrant labor pool. 

So a slower 7% growth of a much larger economy may not necessarily spell disaster for China or the rest of the world. 

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Andrew Leung

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading